OPINION | This article contains commentary that reflects the author's opinion.
Members of the Democrat Party are dropping like flies. It’s become known as the “Democratic plight” prior to the 2022 election cycle.
A total of 24 Democrats are calling it quits, either retiring or running for a different office.
So far, only 11 Republicans in the House won’t run for reelection.
Veteran Democrat Rep. Bobby Rush of Illinois is the latest congressman to confirm his retirement. He will not run for reelection this year.
75-year-old Rush, who is a former Black Panther, was first elected in 1992.
He once even defeated future President Barack Obama in a Democratic primary for the seat in 2000.
“I don’t want my grandchildren to know me from a television news clip or something they read in a newspaper,” Rush said.
“I want them to know me on an intimate level, know something about me, and I want to know something about them. I don’t want to be a historical figure to my grandchildren,” he added.
NPR political correspondent Mara Liasson even noted that that the “Democratic plight” ahead of 2022 elections is unique.
“The mood is bad,” she said about Democrats.
“I haven’t ever covered a midterm election cycle when one party is as pessimistic about their prospects as Democrats are today or that the other party, the out party, is as optimistic about their prospects as Republicans are about winning back the House,” she said.
Politico national correspondent David Siders is forecasting doom for Democrats in Congress, writing, “The House? Likely gone. The Senate? A crapshoot.”
Public Opinion Strategies pollster Glen Bolger confirmed that they can track election outcomes based on presidential polling with close accuracy.
With Biden’s sinking approval, Democrats are likely to lose about the 41 seats Trump lost, Washington Examiner reports.
This is 34 more seats than the GOP needs to take control of the House of Representatives.
Polls reveal that many Americans are furious with Joe Biden, and rightfully so. Biden is attempting to force private employees to receive the coronavirus vaccine via a shot in the arm. This “new federal vaccine requirement” impacts as many as 100 million Americans.
Biden also insulted the American people by saying they’re stupid if they choose not to receive the vaccine. “You’re not nearly as smart as I thought you were,” Biden said to those who were unvaccinated in July of 2021.
Ratings from a nonpartisan election handicapper indicate that Republicans have a distinct advantage when it comes to winning control of the House in next year's midterm elections.
— Newsmax (@newsmax) December 30, 2021
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Fox News noted that retirements are often seen as an indication of what parties expect in the upcoming election. In 2018, when Democratic regained the House, 23 Republican members of the House retired.
“Only members themselves know why they decide to retire. But if there’s an imbalance of retirements toward one party or another, it sometimes can tell us something about what the party with a lot of retirees thinks might happen in the midterms,” Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of the political handicapper Sabato’s Crystal Ball, said, according to Fox News.
Democrats reeling year before midterm elections – here's how Republicans stay on top and win big in 2022https://t.co/bRIm0eWZoa
— Caroliine0071 (@CarolineForehan) January 3, 2022
Republicans are looking to win big, according to the Daily Mail.
“House Republicans are targeting 70 Democrat-held seats,” House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy said in a recent fund-raising email.
“We are going to take back the largest House majority in a decade,” he wrote.
“In a cycle like this, no Democrat is safe,” National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Tom Emmer said.
