OPINION | This article contains commentary that reflects the author's opinion.
A poll from Emerson College and The Hill found former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in the key swing state of Pennsylvania in a hypothetical 2024 matchup.
Trump led Biden 45% to 43%, with a larger 49% to 40% lead over Vice President Kamala Harris.
Trump’s lead grew to 42% when independent candidates were included, while Biden fell to 37%.
📊 PENNSYLVANIA POLL: Emerson
Trump 45% (+2)
Biden 43%
—
Trump 42% (+5)
Biden 37%
RFK Jr 8%
West 2%
Stein 1%
—
Trump 49% (+9)
Harris 40%
—
Trump 48% (+15)
Newsom 33%
—
Senate
Casey (D-Inc) 49% (+10)
McCormick (R) 39%
—
R41/D40 | 1,000 RV | 2/14-16https://t.co/XtMPFvYQbl pic.twitter.com/j2H1fAcmpS— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) February 20, 2024
Independent voters favored Biden by 6 points but men supported Trump 50-41% and women Biden 44-42%.
Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling wrote, “men break for Trump over Biden 50% to 41% while women break slightly for Biden over Trump, 44% to 42%.”
The top issue for Pennsylvanians was the economy at 40%, followed by healthcare at 11% and immigration at 11%.
Other recent state polls have shown Trump leading Biden in key swing states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
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